Friday, 1 August 2008

Roy Morgan Poll: 1 August 2008

For the first time in months the Roy Morgan Poll has shown a drop in the National Party polling.

This is a one-off and by no means a trend. A trend would result if similar results were polled after 3 polls or more.

3 separate polls 2 weeks ago showed a similar outcome as today's Roy Morgan.

Finding No. 4311 - Roy Morgan New Zealand's Latest Polling Results: August 01, 2008

In early August 2008 the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National Party support at 47.5% (down 4.5%) still well ahead of the Labour Party 32.5% (up 1.5%), if an election were held now the National Party would win.

Support for the Greens was 8% (up 0.5%), NZ First 5% (down 1.5%), Maori Party 3% (up 2%), United Future 0.5% (down 0.5%) and ACT NZ 2.5% (up 2%) — to its highest level since March 2007.

New Zealand First has lost some ground in recent weeks likely due to the funding scandal surrounding leader, Winston Peters, while ACT NZ’s increase is likely due to the strong performance in Parliament of ACT NZ leader Rodney Hide in questioning Peters about where the funding has gone.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is up from its record low to 91.5 (up 4.5 points) mirroring the rise in the Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating which has strengthened slightly up 2.1 points to 87.8, and up 5.8 points over the month.

Related Political Animal reading

c Political Animal 2008


  1. Labour are clawing their way back, let's hope the winston scandal see's them drop back again.

  2. All four major polls have showed a move away from National for a SINGLE poll.

    These Polls are only meaningful when a trend of movement away from National is shown.