Saturday, 11 July 2009

POLITICAL POLL: Roy Morgan Poll, 10 July 2009

In a remarkable feat the National Party have managed to increase their big lead over the Labour Party to 54% vs Labour dropping to 31.5%.

I say remarkable as it flies in the face of John Key's continuation of Labour social policies of state intervention and meddling in citizen's lives that has marked Labours last 9 years as a complete failure.

From Roy Morgan 

In early July support for John Key’s Coalition Government is 58.5% (up 1%) comprising National Party 54% (up 2%), Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 1% (down 1.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged) according to the Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll conducted June 22 — July 5, 2009.

Support for Opposition parties is 41.5% (down 1%); Labour Party 31.5% (down 1.5%), Greens 8% (up 0.5%), NZ First 1% (unchanged), Progressive Party 0.5% (unchanged) and Others 0.5% (unchanged.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is at 140 (down 10.5 points) with 63% (down 6%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 23% (up 4.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

During the same period, the Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating is up 2.7 points to 106.1.


Gary Morgan says:

“In mid June the ruling National Party-led Coalition (58.5%, up 1%) has increased its strong lead over the Opposition Parties (41.5%, down 1%) the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows.

“Despite increased concern about the direction the country is heading and Opposition Leader Phil Goff’s continued questioning of what the National Party Government has done to alleviate the economic problems facing the country — these attacks do not yet appear to be making an impact on support for the Government.

“NZ First Leader Winston Peters has returned to the political stage in recent weeks attacking the Government for considering the repeal of the Foreshore & Seabed Act — which concerns title to New Zealand’s foreshore and beaches. This Morgan Poll shows that Peters is yet to translate his renewed prominence with an increase in support for NZ First (1%, unchanged).”

See Roy Morgan for more detail.

Key is running the economy better than it has been in a generation but the social interference and PC nonsense is going to kick them in the goolies sometime in the future.

I would say this was a lucky poll more than anything else and support will taper as Key's Socialist agenda continues to roll out.

c Political Animal 2009

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